Tensions between China and Japan over Taiwan are escalating, raising concerns that Asia could be facing a potential regional conflict. Former U.S. President Donald Trump has already stepped in as a mediator, contributing to the current atmosphere of uncertainty.
During a recent visit to Japan, Trump praised newly elected Prime Minister Takaichi, but amid rising friction over Taiwan, he has avoided publicly mentioning the island.
A phone conversation on Monday between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Trump underscored that the Taiwan issue is no longer just a regional matter—it is now a topic of global concern. Both leaders reaffirmed agreements reached at the previous Busan summit, emphasizing the need for stable and positive China-U.S. relations, with Taiwan remaining a central focus.
President Xi reiterated that Taiwan’s return to China is a fundamental part of the post-World War II international order, while Trump acknowledged Taiwan’s importance to China and highlighted China’s significant role during World War II.
Japan’s newly elected government under PM Takaichi has taken a strong stance on Taiwan, which China and many international experts see as highly provocative. Chinese media have warned that portraying Taiwan as merely a regional security issue challenges both the post-war international framework and the One-China principle, officially recognized by the U.S. in 1979.
Taiwan’s status is more than a territorial or historical issue; it represents the agreements that maintained peace in the Asia-Pacific for over 80 years. China has warned that any support for Taiwan from Japan or other allies could trigger not only political or economic consequences but also strategic and military responses. With expanded nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities, China could rapidly shift the regional balance of power in the event of a conflict.
Since assuming office, PM Takaichi has repeatedly addressed Taiwan both in parliament and public statements. China has responded with stark rhetoric, warning against any missteps by Japan, emphasizing that miscalculations could have serious military repercussions.
In this complex geopolitical environment, involving Taiwan, Japan, China, the U.S., and other nations, the China-U.S. connection has gained renewed importance. The One-China policy, previously recognized to balance regional power, remains central to maintaining international peace and security. Any miscalculated military action could reshape both history and the future of the region.
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